V. Storms are the last of the weather elements and, in a manner of speaking, they are really nothing more than particular configurations of the other three elements. Because of their importance, people have always been trying to predict them and understand them. A big breakthrough toward that goal was made in WWI by Jacob Bjerknes and his colleagues in Norway. They developed something called "Air Mass Analysis." A. Air masses 1. These are defined as bodies of air with uniform temperature structures and humidity characteristics. 2. These properties derive from their "source regions," The source regions yield a two way system of simple air mass analysis: a. The first dimension of the classification system is the latitude zone of source region, which governs the temperature characterisitics of an air mass. There are four of these zones in the Bjernkes system: i. Equatorial (E) ii. Tropical (T) iii. Polar (P) iv. Arctic or Antarctic (A or AA) b. The underlying surface of the source region also affects the characteristics of the resulting air masses: i. Maritime or oceanic surfaces (m), which create relatively humid air masses ii. Continental or land surfaces (c), which create relatively dry air masses c. So, in Bjerknes' system, there are six basic air mass types: i. Arctic or Antarctic air (abbreviated A or AA): a. Extremely cold b. Very dry (because of the extreme cold) ii. Polar continental air (abbreviated cP or Pc): a. Very cold, having developed over northern Canada and Russia b. Very dry, partly because of the cold and partly from having developed over land. c. Yes, the terminology is a little confusing: "Polar" air isn't the air mass that develops over the poles, because THAT air is called Arctic or Antarctic.... d. Somehow I think of a Lincoln in Ottawa ..... iii. Polar maritime air (abbreviated mP or Pm): a. Very cool because of the high latitude, but not as cold as polar continental air because of the moderating influence of the sea and the warm currents at these latitudes (the North Pacific Drift that continues the Japan or Kuroshio Current and the North Atlantic Drift that continues the Gulf Stream) b. Rather dry because of the coolness but not as dry as the polar continental air because of evaporation from the drifts iv. Tropical continental (a Lincoln in Dallas? abbreviated cT or Tc): a. Warm because of the lower latitude b. Dry because it formed over land v. Tropical maritime (abbreviated mT or Tm): a. Very warm because of the lower latitude b. Very humid because of the tropical waters below it vi. Equatorial (abbreviated E) a. Hot! b. Extremely humid c. Continental is not differentiated from maritime here because there's relatively little land along the equator and much of that land is covered with tropical rainforest, which evapotranspires as much water vapor into the air as an equivalent area of ocean water. 3. Air masses usually have sharp boundaries between themselves. Air masses of different characteristics, therefore, tend not to mix. This boundary is called a "front" (the rather militaristic vocabulary here may have had something to do with the pressure of circumstances!). B. Fronts 1. It is the fronts between air masses that create storms. This happens when one mass pushes into another along their front and one is forced upwards. This forced uplift produces adiabatic cooling and so precipitation and storms. 2. There are three basic types of front in air mass analysis: a. A cold front, where the invading air mass is colder and, therefore, denser than the one it invades. i. This produces fast uplift. ii. Uplift produces a "squall line" of cumuliform clouds. iii. Precipitation, then, is intense, due to the sharp uplift -- and it can fall on both sides of the front's contact with the ground. iv. Because cold air is denser than the warm air it is invading, it can push the more buoyant warm air out of the way very fast. Cold fronts are, therefore, fast moving. b. A warm front, in which the invading air mass is warmer and, therefore, lighter than the one it's invading. i. This produces a slow, low angle, gradual uplift. ii. This kind of gentle uplift creates stratiform clouds blanketing huge areas. At the forward edge, there are cirrus clouds of various types, which are replaced by alto- stratus, stratus, and finally nimbo-stratus clouds. Now, you can see why the appearance of certain kinds of clouds is associated with the advent of stormy weather. iii. These stratiform clouds yield less intense precipitation in a large area ahead of the front's contact with the ground. iv. Because warm air, particularly warm humid air, is lighter than the air it's moving into, it meets strong resistance. Warm fronts are, accordingly, slow moving. v. Warm fronts are found east of cold fronts. c. An occluded front occurs when a fast moving cold front to the west catches up with a slower moving warm front to the east. i. The cold air behind the cold front links up with the cold air ahead of the warm front. ii. The warm air behind the warm front is caught in between and, being more buoyant, is forced up off the ground completely. You can't perceive it from the ground anymore: It is hidden (hence the name, "occluded," for "hidden"). iii. This sudden uplift leads to intense rain. iv. But then the warm air cools adiabatically and eventually stabilizes, stops rising, and so the storm dies. C. There are different types of storm. The variations are related to latitude, as well as severity. At first, it was thought that the mechanisms of air mass analysis could explain all of them, but it turned out that there is too little difference between the air masses that produce tropical and equatorial storms to account for their nature in air mass analytic terms. So, I'll discuss storm types by latitude and severity, starting with the mid-latitudes that most conform to air mass analysis. 1. Mid-latitude traveling cyclones, sometimes called extratropical cyclones. a. Mid-latitude wave cyclones. i. This is far and away the most common type of storm in the middle latitudes. ii. It develops along the polar front, which separates polar air masses (Pc, Pm) from tropical air masses (Tc, Tm) iii. As such, the polar front corresponds to the subpolar low in the world pressure and wind system and is, therefore, a powerful storm generator, because the air masses it separates are very, very different in their temperature and humidity characteristics. iv. It also is associated with the polar jet stream, sometimes called the polar front jet stream, a high speed westerly wind in the upper troposphere, which forms where the decline in thickness of the troposphere is the steepest (remember? the troposphere is quite thick over the tropics and thins towards the pole). The path of the jet stream is unstable, sometimes being a fairly straight zonal west-east flow and other times having a strong meridional north-south component to it. This is important as it affects the paths and the strengths of storms. v. Mid-latitude traveling cyclones go through four different stages of development and death. a. Stage A: Situation normal. All along the polar front the tropical air masses, propelled by the westerlies, are confronting the polar air masses, themselves propelled by the polar easterlies. For a while, this is an even match along the front, and the polar front forms a rather straight path from west to east. b. Stage B: Sooner or later, this front develops bulges north and south as first one air mass, then the other is stronger at a given point. 1. This means a warm front sector is formed where warm air pushes into polar air mass territory and a cold front sector forms behind it, pushing into tropical air territory. This, then, is the beginning of a storm, with its distinctive fronts established. 2. On weather maps, it is conventional to mark the cold front sector with a thick line with small triangles on it pointing in the direction of the front's advance; the warm front is marked by a heavy line with small semicircles or bumps on it, again pointing in the direction of the front's advance. The occluded sector is shown by alternating points and semicircles, all pointing in one direction. A section of a front not moving, a stationary front, is also shown with alterating triangles and semi-circles, but they point in opposite directions. Precipitation starts in with the uplift associated with the moving fronts. 3. At this point, the global circulation of Prevailing Westerlies converging with Polar Easterlies at the Subpolar Low gives way to the regional circulation of a storm, with air spiraling into the deepest part of the cyclone (where the cold front touches the warm front). A. In the Northern Hemisphere, the winds in front of the cold front will be coming from the south or southwest; after the cold front passes, there will be a wind shift, with the wind now coming in from the west or northwest. B. You can see that in the weathervane symbols used to show wind direction and strength in the map above: The reporting station is shown as a circle (black for cloudy and clear for, well, clear weather) and the vane points in the direction from which the wind is blowing. The number of angled lines indicates wind speed. C. Anyhow, look at the stations to the east of the cold front and you'll see the winds are from the southwest; for those west of the cold front, the winds are coming from the northwest. c. Stage C: The cold front sector moves faster, so it catches up with the warm front sector, attacking it from behind in a sort of rotational motion, lifting the warm tropical air mass clear off the ground. This is the beginning of the occluded stage. Here you see the cold and warm fronts, with two transects, or trips we'll take in cross-section, from E to A across the American South (the two kinds of front) and from G to F across the upper Midwest to see the situation above occlusion. The cross-section above shows the distinct cold and warm front sectors west of D and east of C. This cross section shows the area above occlusion, where the warm air has been snapped up off the ground. d. Stage D: The chilling of the warm air above the occlusion, which puts a gradual end to the occluded front and to the storm itself. The deceleration in uplift eases up on the lower pressure of the cyclone, which exerts less influence on regional air flow: This allows the regional cyclonic circulation to give way to the global pattern of converging westerlies and easterlies. The end of occlusion, thus, re-establishes Stage A, normalcy, until the next ripple comes along. vi. The whole storm system, as it develops and dies, tracks generally eastbound, under the path of the polar front jet stream. The jet stream is affected by the Rossby wave circulation around the poles, which is not perfectly circular (west-east). The Rossby circulation is sometimes nearly zonal (west-east) and other times markedly meridional (north-south). So, the amplitude of the Rossby waves shrinks and swells with time in a roughly three to eight week cycle called the index cycle. a. Low index means low zonal component b. High index means high zonal component c. During low index phases, the jet stream will curve markedly (and the paths of the storms below it will, too) and storm severity can be exaggerated as the curves in the jet stream accentuate the clockwise spiraling of surface highs and the counterclockwise spiraling of surface lows in the Northern Hemisphere, as shown in this graphic from USA Today: vii. These mid-latitude wave cyclones are the source of California's winter storms. Such storms are spawned in great numbers by the Aleutian Low as it and the polar front are displaced south in winter with the migration of the sun into the Southern Hemisphere. Remember, the Hawai'ian High is also displaced south and weakened, taking our protection from these frontal cyclones away. We have experienced winters with a markedly low index, which has brought the jet stream right over California, clobbering us with volley after volley of mid-latitude traveling cyclones. Other times, we experience high index, with the jet stream and its Aleutian storms tracking well north of us and giving us a dry winter. b. Tornadoes -- much more "entertaining" i. Also mid-latitude phenomena, these are the most violent storms on our planet. ii. They're an occasional by-product of very fast moving cold fronts in the mid-latitudes. When these fronts invade very moist maritime tropical air, the warm, wet air is forced suddenly aloft. This low is deepened further by the latent heat suddenly released by the intense condensation of the wet air racing aloft. iii. These fronts are moving so fast that they tend to run ahead of themselves: The winds on the ground are impeded by friction with the ground, while the air aloft pulls ahead of the front's contact with the ground. The front in cross-section would be even blunter than shown in the cross-section above. iv. This creates a pipeline of rolling air on the ground, kind of like that pipeline that surfers love so much just ahead of a tumbling wave crest, which is sort of what this is. v. At some point, the horizontally-rolling vortex of air can detach and tilt upward on one side and permit extremely fast spiraling airflow up into the cumulo-nimbus cloud above, which creates extremely low pressure. Voilà! -- a funnel cloud. In a manner of speaking, a tornado is sort of like a cumulo-nimbus cloud on steroids. vi. As an extremely low pressure cyclone, this rogue cloud sucks air into it up to 400 km/h! vii. It's a very narrow storm: 100-500 m. viii. The tall, narrow vacuum with the twisting funnel that marks it writhes back and forth, touching ground frequently. Its dark color is that of sudden condensation plus all the stuff it yanks up off the ground. ix. A tornado is immensely destructive. It's so low a cyclone that it causes houses and buildings in its path to explode when the vacuum and the extremely high speed winds hit them. Also, its vortex tends to yank things up: cars, animals, people, trees, parts of houses -- in addition to its explosive effect. These flying objects are lethal to anything they hit at these speeds: Even a piece of straw becomes a bullet. x. At heart, a tornado is a cumulo-nimbus cloud gone very, VERY bad. It exhibits all the damage of a regular cumulo- nimbus cloud, only much worse: Unbelievably torrential rain, hail, and lightning (as well as really weird aurora- like electrical effects: funny glowing colors, some pink, but mainly puke chartreuse or yellow). I was in Worcester, Massachusetts, when a tornado came through in 1979. I was unaware of what it was, because I did not see the funnel cloud: All I was aware of was a staggering amount of rain pouring out of a black sky edged with barf-colored green- yellow clear sky. The noise from lightning and wind was astonishing, too. It was all over about 15 minutes later. I didn't realize what it was until I read about some children in a campground nearby who'd been killed -- by a tornado. In Massachusetts, of all places. xi. About their geography: They tend to be largely New World phenomena (look at the topography of the Western Hemisphere: The mountains tend north-south, affording no block between polar and tropical air masses. The Old World has the Himalayas and Caucasus and Zagros and Taurus and other east-west ranges to keep Siberian air out of the tropics). x. Uhhh, check out California. We get more than most Californians think! We are in denial, folks: People came here from Kansas to get away from them. When we get them, the newspapers will call them "freak windstorms," "waterspouts" (even up in Pasadena), and the current favorite, "microbursts." According to Warren Blier of the Weather Service, our tornado incidence is much higher than locals perceive, the difference being that we get tornadoes of smaller intensity than the Midwest does. We get F0s, F1s, and the rare F2s on the Fujita Scale, while Texas and Oklahoma have gotten them as high as F5s. xi. The Fujita Scale (sometimes called the Fujita-Pearson Scale) is a way of representing the intensity of a tornado, judging from the specific patterns of damage it does. a. Weak Scale Class 1. F0 -- Gale tornado -- winds 64-115 km/h (40-72 mph) -- Some damage to chimneys; breaks branches off trees; pushes over shallow-rooted trees; damages sign boards. 2. F1 -- Moderate tornado -- winds 116-179 km/h (73-112 mph) -- Moderate Damage: Surface of rooves peeled off, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, outbuildings demolished, moving autos pushed off the roads, trees snapped or broken; beginning of hurricane-speed winds. b. Strong Scale Class 1. F2 -- Significant tornado -- winds 180-251 km/h (113-157 mph) -- Considerable Damage: Roofs torn off frame houses, mobile homes demolished, frame houses with weak foundations lifted and moved, large trees snapped or uprooted, light-object missiles generated. 2. F3 -- Severe tornado -- winds 252-330 km/h (158-206 mph) -- Severe Damage: Roofs and some walls torn off well-constructed houses; trains overturned; most trees in forest uprooted, heavy cars lifted off the ground and thrown, weak pavement blown off the roads. c. Violent Scale Class 1. F4 -- Devastating tornado -- winds 331-416 km/h (207- 260 mph) -- Devastating Damage: Well-constructed houses leveled, structures with weak foundations blown off the distance, cars thrown and disintegrated, trees in forest uprooted and carried some distance away. 2. F5 -- Incredible tornado -- winds 417-509 km/h (261- 318 mph) -- Incredible Damage: Strong frame houses lifted off foundations and carried considerable distance to disintegrate, automobile-sized missiles fly through the air in excess of 300 feet, trees debarked, incredible phenomena will occur. 3. F6 -- Inconceivable tornado -- 510-606 km/h (319-379 mph) -- These winds are very unlikely. The small area of damage they might produce would probably not be recognizable along with the mess produced by F4 and F5 wind that would surround the F6 winds. Missiles, such as cars and refrigerators would do serious secondary damage that could not be directly identified as F6 damage. If this level is ever achieved, evidence for it might only be found in some manner of ground swirl pattern, for it may never be identifiable through engineering studies. 2. Tropical weather systems aren't too similar to mid latitude storms: The contrast between air masses (e.g., mT and E) is much less. They do have tremendous capacities to cause precipitation through convection, however. Remember, tropical air is very moist. Once frontal or convectional uplift gets going, the latent heat energy released by all that condensation accelerates uplift, leading to intense precipitation. a. Easterly waves are the most common source of stormy weather in the tropics. i. They are slow moving (300-500 km/day) low pressure troughs in the Trades, about 5-30° N or S. ii. A trough is an area of low pressure, stretched out along a line or arc, in this case pointing poleward from the equatorial area. If you examined the pressure gradient in this area, you would see that, for the most part, the isobars trend east-west. If the area of an easterly wave, however, they bend poleward to create a trough: iii. You can understand the "trough" expression by drawing a straight line east-west right across the middle of the trough. Mark the places your line crosses isobars and note the reading there. Copy the line and its tick marks onto another sheet of paper. Now, construct a Y axis going up from this line and mark it with isobar readings from, in this case, 1010 to 1020 mb (or hPa). Above each tick mark on the X axis, put a dot across from its isobar reading. Now, connect the dots with a smooth curve and you'll see it dips in the middle: That dip in your curve is the trough, or area of low pressure. iv. Air at the surface will cross the isobars from high pressure to low pressure, slightly deflected to the right in the Northern Hemisphere (to the left in the Southern Hemisphere). This means the wind is bent so that it converges along the trough and just east of it, which means it tends to rise there, and it diverges (and sinks) on the west side and far to the east. v. So, as the easterly wave approaches, you would first enjoy clear weather. Then, as the trough passes over you, you'd experience the scattered showers and thunderstorms associated with the convergence and uplift of hot, humid tropical air for a day or so. Then, it would clear with the return of slightly divergent and subsiding air behind the easterly wave. b. Tropical cyclones (aka hurricanes in the Atlantic, typhoons in the Northwestern Pacific, and cyclones in the Indian Ocean, and, sometimes, chubascos along the west coast of Mexico) i. These often form when the low pressure of an easterly wave deepens (the isobars would become "pointier" in their bend poleward -- as in the dashed lines on the sketch map above), as uplift is accelerated by unusual heat release during condensation. ii. This becomes a self expanding process, because of the great amount of water vapor held in mT air over oceans. The uplift/condensation of that huge amount of water is a powerful source of heat energy to speed up the uplift and deepen the low pressure. iii. A hurricane is seen on weather maps when the isobars keep bending until they cut themselves off into concentric circular patterns (instead of wavy zonal patterns) and when they attain hurricane force winds (118 km/h) -- they're called "tropical depressions" or "tropical storms" when they develop the circular isobar pattern but before their winds hit the requisite speed. iv. Description: a. A hurricane is a circular center of very low pressure (a few have been known to plunge below 920 mb) b. This profound low draws in high speed winds: 120-200 km/h c. The uplift of these swirling winds creates heavy rain (through convergent and convectional uplift). d. The storm is relatively small, about 150-1000 km in diameter. e. Hurricanes usually move about 25-30 km/h, though they can stall and just sit there, creating devastating amounts of rain and storm surge. On the other hand, they have been known to race along at up to 100 km/h! f. Perhaps the greatest peculiarity is the eye. This is a small area of absolutely clear weather right in the center of the storm. The eye is usually about 30-60 km across and can last an hour or so. The eyes are clearly visible in the images of the 1992 Hurricane Andrew on the left (the most expensive hurricane disaster ever to hit the United States, doing at least $20 billion of damage) and the 1998 Hurricane Mitch on the right (which devastated Central America, killing over 10,000 people):
The eye is produced by subsidence of air at the core of the spiraling storm. Air races towards the center of a hurricane, spiraling to form a large vortex in the center, made up of rapidly uplifted air (and condensation). This forms the eyewall, the wall of immense cumulo-nimbus clouds around the eye. Here is an image of the eyewall seen from just inside the eye: The wind at the top of the storm spirals outward for the most part, but some, trying to diverge, manages to head inward where it converges and most of it sinks. The subsiding air, of course, brings dry clear weather at the heart of the storm. g. Another distinctive feature is the spiral rainbands that swirl outward from the eyewall, rather like the arms of a spiral galaxy. These are made of cumulo-nimbus clouds formed from eddies or individual updrafts in the general inward rush of winds toward the center of the storm. The bands themselves spiral (counterclockwise in the Northern Hemisphere) slowly about the eyewall. They can stretch out anywhere from 75 to 750 km from the eye. h. Another feature of a hurricane is wind reversal after the eye passes. If you are in the direct path of a hurricane in the Northern Hemisphere, which is moving from east to west, the wind will first come at you from the north and you'll really get pounded, the winds accelerating as the eyewall approaches. Then, the eye passes over you, and things are sunny and tranquil for half an hour or an hour or so. Just when you start to relax, you'll be smashed by really fast winds, this time coming from the south. If the storm is coming up from the south to the north in the Northern Hemisphere, then the wind reversal would be easterly winds before the eye and westerly after. The opposite is true in the Southern Hemisphere. i. Another feature of direct relevance to disaster planning is the notion of the (more) dangerous side. The winds spiral into the storm at some high rate of speed but you have to remember the storm itself is moving. You have to add and subtract the storm's speed to get the effective speed of winds in any part of the hurricane. In the Northern Hemisphere, the dangerous side is the right side; in the Southern, it's the left side. So, if the storm were moving, say, 25 km/hr westbound in the Northern Hemisphere and the winds were coming in at, say, 150 km/h, the winds to the right would effectively be moving at 175 km/hr, while those on the left side would effectively be moving at 125 km/hr. Here is a spiffy animation making the same point with a hurricane moving north into Louisiana and Mississippi at 30 mph with winds of 100 mph. j. Direction of travel: generally westward at first, driven by the easterly Trades and the circulation around the oceanic subtropical high cell. That said, hurricanes pretty much go where they "want" to, driven by quirks in their own internal circulation and interactions with the regional circulation, which is itself affected by the position of the world pressure and wind belts, seasonal movements in these, and the land and sea pressure differential that is so prominent in the summer. Hurricanes will often initially start out westbound and then curve poleward along the isobars defining the Bermudas or Hawai'ian High. If there is a marked low on land, hurricanes will head for land. Here we see the North Atlantic hurricane tracks for 1999:
1. If they manage their poleward turn out at sea, notice how long their tracks can be. By staying out over water, they stay in contact with their power source: warm tropical water. By power source, I mean they pick up enormous amounts of evaporated water and the latent heat it carries, the air rises, cooling adiabatically enough to create condensation (clouds and rain) and this releases the latent heat, which accelerates the original uplift. Hurricanes can ride the Gulf Stream or similar warm currents pretty far poleward and can eventually head east along the current, moving along those summer isobar patterns into the Westerlies belt. Sooner or later, they degrade into lower power tropical or extratropical storms because they are slowly moving into ever cooler waters, which cuts them slowly off from their power source. 2. If they do their poleward swing onshore, they die suddenly. Notice how generally short the tracks are that come ashore and how quickly they degrade into the yellow tracks of an ordinary tropical storm or the green tracks of a tropical depression. This sudden flameout (if that's the right metaphor) is a result of the hurricane suddenly being cut off from access to its power source: warm tropical waters. k. Global distribution. From the foregoing, we can generally predict where and when hurricanes are going to occur globally. 1. They are largely summer phenomena, given the influence of the oceanic cells into which the Subtropical High break: Hurricanes flow more or less along the curving isobars that encircle those oceanic peaks of high pressure. Hurricane season in the North Atlantic and North Pacific, then, is largely July to October; in the North Indian Ocean, there are two peaks, one in May and another in November. In the South Pacific and the South Indian oceans, it's more like late October to May. 2. Hurricanes are tropical but not equatorial. Why don't they form right along the equator, where, presumably, the ocean water is warmest? Because Coriolis Effect is non-existent. There has to be some Coriolis Effect to induce the inspiraling so characteristic of these storms. They generally originate somewhere between 8 and 15 degrees north or south of the equator. 3. They mainly afflict east coasts of continents because of their dependence on a warm current, such as the Gulf Stream. We in California are protected from full-blown hurricanes by the cold California current. Occasionally, a hurricane will actually survive the short trip across Central America and wind up off the west coast, where they quickly degrade over the cold water. These systems are sometimes called "chubascos." We sometimes get the tropical moisture from a chubasco, usually in August or September, receiving thunderstorms in the summer which, otherwise, is pretty rare for us. An interesting gap is present on this map of typical hurricane storm tracks: the South Atlantic is free of them. Current debates focus on ocean temperatures in the South Atlantic just south of the equator (they may not break the 26° C threshhold that seems necessary to trigger hurricanes) and on vertical wind shear in the troposphere there (too strong to support the vertical uplift of the eyewall). l. There are several separate sources of hazard in a hurricane: 1. Extreme winds. 2. Torrential rain and the resulting freshwater flooding and mudslides (which is what killed most of the more than 10,000 people who died in Hurricane Mitch in 1998). 3. Saltwater flooding from the storm surge and high winds. A. The extreme low pressure of a hurricane actually pulls up the ocean surface in the area under it! When this surge strikes the coast, waves can penetrate farther inland than they would otherwise, sort of the mother of all high tides in effect. B. Waves in water are a function of wind speed, duration, and fetch (the distance of open water in the direction the wind is blowing): Hurricanes generate really high wind speeds for a sustained period of time and the waves that come at a coast may have had a long stretch of open water. C. So, you have really big waves and an elevated ocean surface and that translates into serious saltwater flooding along coastal lowlands. D. Human life is endangered both by the possibility of drowning and by the debris carried by these waves. 4. The dangerous side of hurricanes also often spawns tornadoes to make the misery complete. 5. For a hurricane to become a disaster, it needs people and property in the way. The Red Spot on Jupiter, apparently some kind of hurricane, is not a natural hazard, because there are no people and assets at risk to it. Over the course of this century, hurricanes have become costlier and costlier as the human population grows and as it concentrates on hurricane coasts. A hurricane (called a "cyclone" locally) hit Bangladesh in 1970 and destroyed over 500,000 human beings. Hurricane Andrew did over $20 billion dollars of damage in 1992, because there are now so many people and economic activities and assets in South Florida. m. Like the Fujita Scale with tornadoes, there is a hurricane intensity scale, which is called the Saffir- Simpson Scale. It has five hurricane levels, 1-5, covering damage levels from minimal to catastrophic: Saffir-Simpson Scale Type Damage Press: mb Wind: km/h Surge: m Depression (easterly wave develops circular isobars) Tropical storm (many hurricane traits, but not strong enough yet) Hurr. 1 minimal >980 <118 1.25-1.75 Hurr. 2 moderate 965-980 118-154 1.75-2.75 Hurr. 3 extensive 945-965 154-178 2.75-4.00 Hurr. 4 extreme 920-965 178-210 4.00-5.50 Hurr. 5 catastrophic <920 >210 >5.50 c. Polar outbreaks i. Cold air from polar regions breaks through to very low latitudes in the Western Hemisphere sometimes (remember in the discussion of tornadoes, I commented on how the New World's mountains generally trend north-south, allowing Arctic air to contact warm tropical air? Well, the topography is relevant to this type of storm, too). ii. A regular "squall line" of cumulo-nimbus clouds heralds the cold front. iii. Strong, steady winds follow the squall line. iv. This brings unusually cool, clear weather to the tropics -- this can chill out many tropical crops grown on tropical highlands, such as coffee ("mountain-grown," as the ads have it!), wiping out much of the crop and raising the price of your morning cuppa joe. v. In the Caribbean and Central America, these outbreaks are called "nortes," because they come from the north; in South America, they're called "pamperos," because they blow in from Antarctica over the Pampas (the famous grassland in Argentina). vi. In the low-lying areas, this actually brings some of the most pleasant weather there: cooler and drier. 3. Equatorial storms are really different from both mid-latitude and from tropical storms. They are often referred to as "weak equatorial lows." a. There is almost no difference among air masses, which we saw earlier in discussing tropical storms (e.g., very little to distinguish mT from E air masses), so, like the tropical storms, air mass analysis isn't helpful. b. Unlike the tropical storms, though, there is too little or no Coriolis Effect to induce spiraling. c. These storms consist of individuals or groups of cumulo-nimbus clouds scattered in an area. d. They are associated with the Inter-Tropical Cconvergence Zone (ITCZ): Basically, the converging Trades produce uplift, which generates many individual convectional and convergent storms. e. A typical day along the ITCZ consists of day breaking clear and sunny. By afternoon, thunderheads are piling up, especially wherever there's some relief in the landscape: islands in the open sea or mountains. By late afternoon, it's "raining cats and dogs" (or is it "pitchforks and hammer handles"?). This goes on for a short while, maybe 20 minutes to a couple of hours, and then, as the sun sets, the clouds die down and dissipate and the stars come out in a largely clear sky. This goes on for weeks at a time. Pretty exciting, huh? 4. High latitude storms. Not much is known about the storms experienced in the polar and circumpolar latitudes. The climate is pretty dry up there, given the low temperatures, so not much precipitation happens most of the time (these are sometimes called "the polar deserts"). But, when it does, it comes with great suddenness and violence. a. Polar lows: Some of these storms are similar to mid-latitude wave cyclones, with front-like features and the asymmetry of the precipitation bands we associate with classic mid-latitude cyclones. They may result from A or AA or cP air interacting with mP air blowing in from over a warm current, such as the Gulf Stream/North Atlantic Drift or the Japan Current/North Pacific Drift. b. Others actually look suspiciously like hurricanes, of all things, complete with an eye. Some people call them even call them "(Ant-) Arctic hurricanes" or "polar hurricanes." Sometimes they're called "bomb cyclones," because the air pressure in them drops catastrophically (like a bomb), at least 24 mb in 24 hours (there have been a few that dropped 60 mb or hPa in 24 hours!!!). i. So, even though they may look like a hurricane, they are still pretty different: a. They have cold air and cold fronts, which would destroy a conventional tropical cyclone or hurricane. b. They form under strong upper-level winds (remember one of the explanations for the South Atlantic being free of hurricanes is unusually strong vertical wind shear?). c. They form in the winter, and tropical cyclones are summer affairs. d. They form in the Northwest Pacfic, Northwest Atlantic ("the Perfect Storm"), and, rarely, even in the Mediterranean, while true hurricanes need warm tropical oceans to form and these bomb cyclones may have something to do with the famous, sudden-onset Nor'easters on the American East Coast. ii. One possible explanation for these is that they are hybrids, formed when an unusually strong mid-latitude wave cyclone somehow connects up with a tropical cyclone moving into higher latitudes, allowing the mid-latitude cyclone to exploit the massive amounts of water vapor carried by the tropical cyclone. c. In short, not a lot is known about high latitude weather and it's an area of active research and controversy, with many opportunities for students who acquire the physical geography, physics, chemistry, meteorology, or remote sensing background to help out (and who actually like freezing in the field). D. Importance of storms -- a few wrap-up comments before we leave the weather section. 1. Storms liberate enormous amounts of latent heat into the atmosphere. 2. As such they are part of the global circulation carrying surplus heat away from the low latitudes to the heat-deficient higher latitudes, where the storms release the heat through condensation and freezing. 3. Storms supply precipitation and so largely determine fresh water distribution and water resources. 4. They create many environmental hazards: a. Lightning and lightning fires b. Hail and crop loss c. Tornadoes and hurricanes are just hazards by definition whenever people or their "stuff" are in their paths. d. Floods (a little too much of that water resource!) e. Winds 5. People try to minimize the hazardous aspect of storms (e.g., hurricane seeding to drop wind velocity or dam and levee building), but such efforts often backfire unpredictably. Later, we'll see a common theme in research is that society responds to recurrent, low level hazards in a way that sets it up for much more catastrophic losses later, when the much rarer, higher magnitude event happens along. More on that later. Well, th-th-that's about all for storms, folks. Make sure you understand the basic idea of air mass analysis (air masses and fronts) and know that it was a major breakthrough in the understanding of mid-latitude wave cyclones, the most common storm in the mid-latitudes. Be able to associate the major storm types discussed in this lecture with the general latitudes in which they occur (mid-latitude, tropical, equatorial, and high latitude). Make sure you are familiar with the main characteristics and dynamics of the major storm types and that science still does not understand high latitude storm genesis and development. Be aware of the various ways that storms are important in the earth system (and to us humans). The next lecture will summarize major climate types.
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Rodrigue
First placed on web: 10/22/00
Last revised: 06/19/07