Disaster by Management: Summaries of Theoretical Themes


Managerialism
Managerialism has its roots in the transition from industrial capitalism to corporate capitalism, which entailed the growing separation of management from ownership and the professionalization of management. Managerialism represents a search for and application of "scientific" principles of sound management within great corporations trying to manage multiple plants, offices, markets, and product-lines.

The (allegedly) efficient private sector corporation was increasingly contrasted with the public sector. The public sector is assumed to be shielded from market forces through its dependence on tax revenues and, therefore, inefficient. Taxes, moreover, were positioned as a drain on the efficiency of the model private corporation. The result was increasing pressure to apply managerial techniques from the private sector to optimize the efficiency of a public sector agency or institution, so as to reduce the tax burden on the glorified private sector.

Managerialism in the public sector emphasizes hierarchy and technology and defines the role of the manager as balancing the socially- and politically-set goals of the agency with resource constraints. There is an emphasis on cost-cutting and getting the maximum output for the minimum social investment, a sort of Wal-Mart model for the delivery of government services. There is little real reflection on whether this model is even appropriate for government activity. The presentation traces out the impact of public sector managerialism on NASA.

Organizational theory:
Organizational theory explores the structuring of individuals in organizational settings. One of its key ideas is the classification of organizations into those with mechanistic structures and those with organic structures.

Mechanistic structures are hierarchical and authoritarian, with finely differentiated and often repetitive tasks, centralization of decision-making power and knowledge, and channeling of communication along vertical chains of command. In industry, these correspond with and support Fordist production practices, with massive production of similar or identical pieces for a stable mass market. Mechanistic organizations are argued to be suited to external environments characterized by a high degree of certainty and predictability.

Organic organizations, on the other hand, are associated with external environments of high uncertainty. There is an emphasis on flexibility and teamwork among people (even outside the organization) with very different skills, with lateral communication and a de-emphasis on hierarchy. Production tends to focus on small batches or customized one-of-a- kind products and services.

Both NASA and the FBI tend towards the mechanistic end of the continuum, while operating in milieux and performing tasks that this literature might expect to elicit organic organization. The FBI, however, has experimented with decentralization and field office autonomy, a more organic organizational model, without, however, preventing abuses of authority, and its organization has moved closer to its original mechanistic structure.

O'Connor's functions of government:
Of relevance to understanding the political and economic uncertainties in the extragovernmental environment is O'Connor's notion of "accumulation functions" and "legitimization functions" of governmental agencies. He presented this dichotomoy in a 1973 book on The Fiscal Crisis of the State.

Accumulation activities are those which facilitate conditions enabling the profitable operation of private companies. Examples would include airport and port operation, the construction and maintenance of transportation systems, State or municipal operation of utilities, the maintenance of law and order, and, to a lesser extent, education and workforce training. These functions often enjoy fairly stable funding, often from independent revenue sources, and are less vulnerable to the political process.

Legitimization functions, on the other hand, are those devoted to taking care of the welfare of those negatively impacted by the free flow of investment and those serving symbolic, even propagandistic loyalty-building purposes. These might include public assistance, Social Security, public housing, environmental protection, and, to a certain extent, education and public safety functions. Legitimization functions and agencies dominated by them endure more variable funding and support, depending on the ebb and flow of the political election cycle, leaving them in a position of having to lobby for their livelihoods.

The FBI, with its law and order function, seems to fall more on the accumulation side. NASA carries a symbolic freight, which has an optional quality in the eyes of many involved in the political battles of a given time. This pushes NASA more toward the legitimization side of the continuum.

Accident theory:
Normal accident theory argues that accidents are "normal" in large, complex systems, because of unexpected interactions among components as much as from failure of single components. If these components are tightly coupled in a reaction or in a sequence, then unexpected failure can well happen far faster than human beings can grasp and respond to the situation and can easily cascade across multiple pathways in unexpected ways, triggering ever more failures.

Countering normal accident theory is high reliability theory, which dissects case studies of organizations that have long histories safely operating high consequence technologies. High reliability theory argues that these case studies share characteristics, such as the formation and maintenance of an intense "culture of safety." This culture of safety typically features delegation of responsibility to the levels closest to the technical operation of the components in question, openness to learning from accidents and near misses (rather than blame-seeking), redundancy in personnel handling especially intense and critical tasks, and multiply redundant fail-safes.

Normal accident theory takes a critical stance toward high reliability theory, even to the point of predicting that redundant safety mechanisms and fail-safes can themselves increase the risk of failure through adding to the complexity and opaqueness of a system. High reliability theorists would point to the long-term safe performance of certain organizations to argue that complexity and tight coupling cannot be allowed to induce a "can't do" culture of safety: Perhaps accidents are normal, but there are lessons to be learned to make accidents at least less normal.

Until the crash of the Challenger, NASA might have been offered as an example of a high reliability organization. Would analysis of its technical and organizational characteristics have detected the departure from the tight safety culture of a high reliability organization in time to avert the first of the Shuttle disasters?

Risk perception:
Risk perception has garnered a large literature in and out of geography. A common theme is the discrepancy between perception and analytically derived measures of probabilities and consequences. Fairly consistently, people tend to overestimate the frequency of low probability but dramatic hazards (e.g., nuclear power plant accidents or airplane crashes) as compared with expert estimates. Similarly, they tend to underestimate high probability hazards that are less dramatically memorable, such as certain lifestyle-mediated diseases or automobile accidents. While true of lay audiences, the opposite seems to be true of managers in complex organizations responsible for the application of risky technology: There is a tendency to normalize anomaly and an unwillingness to focus on dire consequences that may be glaringly obvious in investigational hindsight. This is one of the mechanisms cited in normal accident theory.

Related to this is a finding that people, including managers in complex technological organizations, often make up their minds about an issue before being exposed to an adequate array of facts and arguments about it, often taking the position of a reference group they trust, and then become very confident in their opinions. Once the pattern gels one way or the other, new facts and arguments are fit into the framework in a way that further solidifies it, in order to avoid the cognitive dissonance of entertaining two mutually exclusive interpretations. Contrary facts are not perceived or are dismissed.

Risk assessment vs. risk management:
Complicating the resistance to dissonant information is the tension between risk assessment and risk management. Risk assessment specifies hazards to humans, generally in terms of the expected probabilities of given types and magnitudes of damage. Risk management is the development and implementation of policy to minimize hazard. The distinction, while clear in concept, is often contentious in application, since each depends on the other. Assessors need to understand managers' needs and policy preferences for the proper balance between human safety and other goals; managers need to understand the results and limitations of assessment and their relevance to management decision-making and policy formulation.

Further complicating this communication is the different status each function occupies in an organization: Risk assessors, as technicians and scientists, are placed below and answer to managers. If the results of risk assessment do not validate the mental frameworks that have gelled around a manager, he or she may well not really hear the assessment message or may actively suppress its dissemination.

Geography
Geography is a tacit agent in organizational disaster. Highly complex organizations managing highly complex issues and technologies may be spatially diffuse. This creates a friction of distance within such organizations. This friction of distance may well be only psychological in an era of extreme time-space compression: instantaneous communication via e-mail, instant messaging, and telephones. The lack of quotidian face-to-face contact nevertheless can raise the psychological inertia to be overcome in initiating contact with someone removed in space.

Space exerts not only an actual and a psychological friction of distance, but spatial positionality in an organization is linked with symbolic and political positionality. Regional centers are subsumed under and answer to headquarters. Information from regional centers may be thus somehow discounted in importance. Too, regional centers themselves may compete among one another with varying success, creating a sort of spatial weighting of information based on which regional center originated it.

The spatiality of NASA and the FBI and the political and psychological distantiation it represents come across as implicated accomplices in the breakdowns of communication that enabled these disasters. While there is time-space compression in communications technologies, it exerts its influence through the symbolic and political time-space distantiation of hierarchicalization in space.


first placed on the web: 04/03/04
last revised: 04/03/04
maintained by C.M. Rodrigue